1% increase in immigration leads to a 1.78%-2.97% increase in Far-Right voting (2024)

Posted by cwwc 16 hours ago

Comments

Comment by OgsyedIE 15 hours ago

How would this possibly control for economic decline?

The largest electoral swings to the far right in the history of the developed world are 1930 in Germany (economic difficulty), 1956 in France (economy doing well), 1968 in the USA (economy doing well), 1973 in Denmark (economy doing well), 1992 in Israel (economic difficulty) and 2022, 23, 24 and 26 in Italy, the Netherlands, France and Germany respectively (economic difficulty).

The only way to even begin making any useful conclusions is to start with a two-axis graph.

Comment by Andaith 12 hours ago

This seems specific to western europe, so I'm curious how a country like Australia would fit into this study? Significantly higher immigration, but also lower Far-Right voting(I know, I know, PHON, but while they've always been around, they've never been as prominent as very recently, and it feels entirely inorganic. They're also not doing nearly as well as the AFD, Le Pen, or Reform).

I'd be far more curious about the correlation between consumption of various social media platforms and Far-Right voting...

Comment by throwitaway222 16 hours ago

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Comment by techblueberry 15 hours ago

I was left in the 1990s; mostly I remember fighting for my right to party, but maybe we ran in different circles.

If anti-immigration was left in the 1990s, what were right leaning views?

Though Reagan was pro immigration. What did that make anti immigration sentiment?

Comment by throwitaway222 32 minutes ago

I voted democrat all my life. My entire family and all my friends were democrats and I went to a school supposedly also all democrats in the state named California.

Everyone was against Illegal immigration but was pro legal immigration.

I'm in fact STILL PRO LEGAL IMMIGRATION. In the millions per year in fact.

Comment by hereme888 15 hours ago

That's the first thing I tried to find in the paper. Far-Right = a list if political parties considered by current far-left EU governments as "Far Right".

What I have noticed is: the more criminals trespass the borders without using the big, legal gate, the more people leave the far-left.

Comment by khiem2794 14 hours ago

That word lost its meaning nowadays. Remember when people called Giorgia Meloni "far right"